Standard LiegeDraw 32%Charleroi
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
43% probability
Charleroi is in good form with a recent 3-
win streak, and their away record shows resilience. Additionally, their xG of 1.19 suggests a strong offensive capability against Standard Liege's xG of 1.03.
💡 Charleroi's defensive stability is notable, with 8 clean sheets in the last 20 matches, indicating a solid backline that could frustrate Standard Liege's attack.
Final Result
Standard Liege 0 : 2 Charleroi
Our prediction: 2 ✓
Standard Liege and Charleroi face off on 23.05.2026 in the Jupiler Pro League. The match takes place in a critical phase of the season where both teams are fighting for better positioning in the league standings. With Standard Liege currently ranked 8th and Charleroi in 11th, both teams are within reach of improving their positions, potentially impacting their chances in the qualifying rounds. The venue details remain unspecified, but the stakes are high for both sides as they aim to capitalize on their current form and secure a vital win.
Avg Scored1.45
Avg Conceded1.2
Over 2.555%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets8
⭐ Standard Liege — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| L. Pirard | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.49 | 11 | 0 |
| M. Epolo | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.24 | 26 | 1 |
| R. Saïd | Attacker | 7 | 4 | 7.08 | 34 | 26 |
| M. Fossey | Defender | 1 | 2 | 6.91 | 17 | 10 |
| J. Homawoo | Defender | 0 | 1 | 6.91 | 30 | 5 |
⭐ Charleroi — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| V. Dragsnes | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.20 | 2 | 0 |
| P. Guiagon | Midfielder | 9 | 5 | 7.08 | 30 | 48 |
| A. Boukamir | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.07 | 7 | 2 |
| P. Pflücke | Attacker | 4 | 7 | 7.03 | 32 | 58 |
| M. Prunier | Attacker | 0 | 0 | 7.00 | 1 | 0 |
Form Comparison
Standard Liege enters this matchup with a recent form of WWDLW, showcasing a slight improvement. Their home performance has been inconsistent, with an average of 1 goal scored and 1.44 goals conceded per match. Charleroi, on the other hand, has displayed a strong upward trend with a form of WWWDL, indicating a resurgence in their performances. Away from home, Charleroi has managed an average of 1.2 goals scored and conceded, demonstrating a balanced approach. The contrast in momentum could play a decisive role, with Charleroi appearing more stable in recent matches.
Expert Prediction
The prediction for this encounter leans towards a Charleroi victory, given their recent form and statistical edge. Despite Standard Liege's home advantage, Charleroi's consistent away performances and their recent winning streak provide them with a psychological edge. The odds indicate a 36% probability for a Charleroi win, aligning with their upward trend and calculated xG superiority. Standard Liege's defensive vulnerabilities could be exploited by Charleroi's tactical setup, making them the favored side in this matchup.
Match Stakes & Context
The match between Standard Liege and Charleroi carries significant weight in the Jupiler Pro League standings. Standard Liege, positioned 8th with 40 points and a goal difference of -8, is looking to solidify its standing and potentially move up the table. Meanwhile, Charleroi sits in 11th place with 34 points and a slightly better goal difference of -4. Both teams are part of the qualifying round, and a win could provide a crucial boost in their quest for a stronger finish. The points gap is narrow, and with only six points separating these teams, this fixture could play a pivotal role in defining their league positions as the season nears its conclusion.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
Charleroi is predicted to
win with a probability of 36%. This is supported by their recent form of three consecutive
wins and a stable away record. Additionally, Charleroi's average of 1.2 goals scored per away match provides them with an attacking edge.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
The model's most likely
score is 1-1, but the prediction leans towards a 1-2 victory for Charleroi. This is due to Charleroi's xG of 1.19, indicating their potential to
score more than once against Standard Liege's defense.
3
What is the best
bet for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
The best value
bet is Charleroi to
Win, with
odds of 2.XX. The model's probability of 36% for a Charleroi
win exceeds the implied
odds probability, highlighting a value edge.
4
What is Charleroi's away form this season?
Charleroi's last 5 away results are W-W-W-D-L. They have scored an average of 1.2 goals per away match and conceded the same, showing a balanced away form with resilience.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Standard Liege vs Charleroi?
The Double Chance
bet on X2 is priced at 1.XX. The combined probability for a draw or Charleroi
win is 68%, which surpasses the implied
odds probability, making it a worthwhile option.
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Jupiler Pro League23.05.2026
