⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
46% probability
Partick holds a significant advantage with a 50% probability of
winning, driven by their superior form and better defensive record, conceding just 1.05 goals per
game compared to ST Mirren's 1.65. Partick's recent away form further underscores their potential edge in this matchup.
💡 Despite ST Mirren's home disadvantage, their ability to
score late in matches (16 second-half goals) may influence the timing of potential outcomes.
Final Result
ST Mirren 1 : 0 Partick
Our prediction: 2 ✗
The upcoming Premiership clash between ST Mirren and Partick at The SMISA Stadium in Paisley is pivotal for both teams. ST Mirren, ranked 10th, is fighting to avoid relegation, while Partick aims to consolidate their position in the league. With ST Mirren's recent struggles at home and Partick's consistent form, the stakes are high.
Avg Scored1
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.65
Avg Conceded1.05
Over 2.555%
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets6
🏟️Venue
The SMISA Stadium, Paisley
8,016 capacity · Grass
⭐ ST Mirren — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| S. George | Goalkeeper | 0 | 1 | 7.05 | 33 | 3 |
| D. John | Defender | 1 | 5 | 6.93 | 30 | 46 |
| R. King | Defender | 2 | 1 | 6.85 | 32 | 8 |
| K. Phillips | Midfielder | 4 | 0 | 6.82 | 37 | 31 |
| M. Fraser | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.79 | 31 | 10 |
Form Comparison
ST Mirren's form has been inconsistent, with a record of 6 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses in their last 20 matches. Their recent form reflects a downward trend, with only one win in the last five games. At home, they have struggled, scoring 0.67 goals per match. Partick, on the other hand, boasts a stronger form with 9 wins, 9 draws, and only 2 losses. Their away performance has been solid, averaging 1.6 goals per match. Partick's current form trajectory indicates a steadier momentum compared to ST Mirren.
Expert Prediction
Given the stakes, Partick is likely to capitalize on their superior form and away record. The pressure on ST Mirren to secure points could lead to defensive vulnerabilities, which Partick may exploit. The predictive model indicates a 50% probability of a Partick win, with odds priced at 2.00. This reflects their defensive solidity and scoring ability, making them favorites in this fixture.
Match Stakes & Context
ST Mirren is positioned 10th in the Premiership with 30 points, grappling with a goal difference of -21. Their current league standing places them in the relegation round, emphasizing the critical need for points to secure safety. Partick's standing is not detailed, yet their recent form suggests a competitive edge. The match's outcome could significantly impact ST Mirren's chances of avoiding relegation, making this encounter crucial for their season's survival.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win ST Mirren vs Partick?
Partick is predicted to
win with a 50% probability. Their average of 1.65 goals scored per
game and a lower goals conceded rate of 1.05 per match highlight their form advantage over ST Mirren, who have been inconsistent at home.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for ST Mirren vs Partick?
The model's most likely
score is 0-1. The prediction aligns with Partick's superior xG of 1.49 compared to ST Mirren's 0.72, indicating Partick's stronger offensive potential.
3
What is the best
bet for ST Mirren vs Partick?
The best value
bet is Partick to
Win at
odds of 2.00. The model probability of a Partick
win is 50%, which presents a value edge over the implied
odds.
4
What is Partick's away form this season?
Partick's last five away results include draws and
wins, with an average of 1.6 goals scored per away match. They have maintained a competitive edge away from home, with only 1.3 goals conceded on average.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for ST Mirren vs Partick?
The Double Chance
bet X2 is worth considering at
odds of 1.40. The combined probability for Partick to
win or draw is 77%, which offers a favorable comparison to the implied
odds probability.
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Premiership25.05.2026
