SpVgg Greuther FürthDraw 16%Rot-Weiß Essen
🏆
Prediction
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
69% probability
SpVgg Greuther Fürth to
WinThe model gives SpVgg Greuther Fürth a 69% chance of
winning, driven by their superior home form (1.91 goals scored per home
game) and recent stability. Rot-Weiß Essen's declining trend and higher goals conceded away (2.45 per
game) support this value.
💡 SpVgg Greuther Fürth's consistent home scoring rate of 1.91 goals per
game offers an edge, especially against Rot-Weiß Essen's vulnerable away defense conceding 2.45 goals on average.
Final Result
SpVgg Greuther Fürth 2 : 0 Rot-Weiß Essen
Our prediction: 1 ✓
SpVgg Greuther Fürth host Rot-Weiß Essen in a critical 2. Bundesliga clash. With Fürth fighting relegation and Essen showing a recent form dip, this match offers intriguing betting angles. The market has Fürth as favorites, reflecting their solid home performances and Essen's away vulnerabilities. The stakes are high as both teams aim to end their season on a strong note.
SpVgg Greuther Fürth
WLDLW
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored2.3
Avg Conceded1.8
Over 2.575%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets4
⭐ SpVgg Greuther Fürth — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| F. Klaus | Midfielder | 8 | 6 | 7.13 | 27 | 50 |
| B. Hrgota | Attacker | 4 | 9 | 7.06 | 33 | 42 |
| N. Futkeu | Attacker | 19 | 5 | 7.01 | 34 | 22 |
| B. Bjarnason | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.81 | 16 | 2 |
| P. Ziereis | Defender | 0 | 1 | 6.74 | 30 | 5 |
Form & Key Players
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's recent form is mixed, with 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses in their last five matches. Key players like N. Futkeu, who scored 19 goals this season, and F. Klaus, with 8 goals and 6 assists, are instrumental in their attack. Rot-Weiß Essen, despite a strong season record, have lost their last three matches, indicating a form decline. Their scoring power, with 2.3 goals per game, remains a threat, but defensive lapses are concerning. The contrast in form and key players' impact is significant for assessing market value.
Match Prediction
Based on statistical analysis, SpVgg Greuther Fürth are predicted to win, with a model probability of 69%, translating to odds of 1.45. Their stable home form and Rot-Weiß Essen's declining performance, especially defensively, support this prediction. The expected goals model suggests a high-scoring affair, but Fürth's home advantage and key players' influence should see them through. Bettors should consider the home win for value, given the data-driven confidence in Fürth's ability to exploit Essen's defensive weaknesses.
Home Ground Advantage
Playing at home, SpVgg Greuther Fürth have shown a remarkable scoring consistency, averaging 1.91 goals per game while conceding only 1.27. This home advantage is pivotal, as it translates into a 6W 5D 6L record at home this season. Their ability to score more frequently at home compared to away games provides a distinct edge, particularly against Rot-Weiß Essen, who struggle defensively on the road. Rot-Weiß Essen's away form, with an average of 2.36 goals scored but 2.45 conceded per game, highlights their defensive frailties. This disparity in home vs. away performance is critical for bettors seeking value in the match outcome.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth are predicted to
win with a 69% probability. This prediction is based on their strong home scoring rate of 1.91 goals per
game and the model's expected goals favoring them significantly.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
Yes, the probability of over 2.5 goals is 69%, supported by the combined xG of 4.57 and Rot-Weiß Essen's high-scoring away
games.
Odds for over 2.5 goals are priced at 1.45, indicating value in this market.
3
What is SpVgg Greuther Fürth's recent form?
SpVgg Greuther Fürth's last five results are WLDLW, scoring 9 goals and conceding 5. At home, they have a record of 6
wins, with an average of 1.91 goals scored per
game and 4 clean sheets, showing stable form.
4
What is Rot-Weiß Essen's away form this season?
Rot-Weiß Essen's recent away form includes a
win (3-2) and losses (1-6, 3-5). They average 2.36 goals scored but concede 2.45 per
game, highlighting their defensive struggles on the road.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen?
There is no available head-to-head data for SpVgg Greuther Fürth vs Rot-Weiß Essen. Therefore, no historical dominance or patterns can be analyzed for this matchup.
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2. Bundesliga26.05.2026
