Prediction Sevilla vs Espanyol | 09.05.2026 | La Liga

SpainLa Liga|09.05.2026
Sevilla
61%
VS
Espanyol
14%
61%
25%
14%
SevillaDraw 25%Espanyol
🏆
Prediction
Sevilla @ 2
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 2
48% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.8
57% probability
Model Confidence
88%
★ BEST BET
Sevilla Win @ 2
Sevilla's recent struggles are somewhat alarming, yet they hold a 61% probability of victory based on expected goals (xG) of 1.99. Espanyol's away form offers little threat, with a weighted average of 0.8 goals per game.
💡 Sevilla scores more in the first half (22 goals) despite their overall struggles, suggesting they might start strong before things inevitably get a bit shaky.

As Sevilla welcomes Espanyol to the Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, one might ponder the peculiarities of football fate. Both teams seem to be in a race to the bottom, with Sevilla's relegation concerns looming large. A win could be a lifeline, but recent form suggests they might need more than a lucky bounce to secure it.

📊 Team Statistics
Sevilla
LLWLL
6
Draws
10
Losses
Avg Scored1.05
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.545%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets2
Espanyol
LDLLD
6
Draws
11
Losses
Avg Scored0.95
Avg Conceded1.75
Over 2.550%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets4
🏟️
Venue
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, Sevilla
48,649 capacity · Grass
⭐ Sevilla — Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
D. LukebakioMidfielder107.3029
Rafa MirAttacker307.0650
Kike SalasDefender106.95215
Andrés CastrínDefender006.91152
Adrià PedrosaDefender006.9011
⭐ Espanyol — Key Players
PlayerPosGARatingAppsKP
M. DmitrovićGoalkeeper007.14331
Edu ExpósitoMidfielder167.073171
Carlos RomeroDefender526.943122
Fernando CaleroDefender006.90243
Miguel RubioDefender106.83120
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.25
Double Chance X21.77
Double Chance 121.25
Over 1.5 Goals1.33
Under 1.5 Goals3.2

Form & Season Statistics

Sevilla's form is, to put it mildly, not what their fans would hope for. With a record of LLWLL in their last five matches, they've managed just one victory against Atletico Madrid. Their home stats offer a glimmer of hope, averaging 1.22 goals scored and conceded per game. However, with only two clean sheets in 20 matches, defensive solidity is not their forte. Espanyol, meanwhile, is on an equally uninspiring trajectory with LDLLD, scoring less than a goal per game on average. Their away form is particularly concerning, leaking two goals per match while finding the net just 1.18 times. Both teams seem to have misplaced their shooting boots, as evidenced by their shot statistics being mysteriously absent — perhaps a sign of the times.

 

Head-to-Head History

In the past 10 meetings, Sevilla has been the dominant force with six victories to Espanyol's solitary win. The most common scoreline leans towards a competitive affair, with both teams scoring in 60% of these encounters. Sevilla has enjoyed playing at home, often managing to edge out Espanyol by the odd goal. The Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán has proved to be a fortress of sorts, even if it's been showing signs of crumbling lately. Historically, matches between these sides have produced an average of 2.8 goals, suggesting goals might be on the menu, even if both teams are struggling to find the net consistently.

Prediction & Best Bet

Given the current state of affairs, Sevilla is fancied to win, priced at odds of 2.00. While their form is far from convincing, they have a solid historical advantage over Espanyol, particularly at home. The xG model suggests Sevilla will create enough chances to score twice, while Espanyol might find it challenging to breach a defense that, although shaky, will be bolstered by home support. For the cautious bettor, the Double Chance on Sevilla or Draw at odds of 1.25 offers a safety net, acknowledging the possibility of a surprise Espanyol resurgence.

Frequently Asked Questions

1
Will both teams score in Sevilla vs Espanyol?
The BTTS percentage stands at 57%, with odds of 1.80 for 'Yes' and 1.95 for 'No'. Sevilla has failed to score in 7 of their last 20 matches, suggesting they are the likelier to draw a blank.
2
What is Sevilla's recent form?
Sevilla's last five results: LLWLL, scoring 5 and conceding 10. At home, they have a record of 5W 4D 7L, averaging 1.22 goals scored and conceded per game. The trend is unfortunately declining.
3
What is at stake in Sevilla vs Espanyol?
Sevilla is perilously placed at 18th in La Liga, needing a win to climb out of the relegation zone. Espanyol sits more comfortably at 13th, but their 39 points offer no guarantee of safety just yet.
4
What is the Draw No Bet option for Sevilla vs Espanyol?
The Draw No Bet option means you get your stake back if the match ends in a draw. Sevilla's DNB odds are 1.50, while Espanyol's are 2.60. Given Sevilla's home advantage, this could provide more assurance than a straight win bet.
5
Are there injury concerns for Sevilla vs Espanyol?
Both squads appear to be at full strength, with no significant injuries or suspensions reported. This should allow both managers to field their strongest XI without any excuses for poor performances.

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