Rio AveDraw 29%Sporting CP
🏆
Prediction
Sporting CP @ 1.26
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.42
52% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.73
38% probability
Double Chance X2 @ 1.05
Sporting CP have dominated with 9
wins in the last 10 meetings against Rio Ave. They average 1.95 goals per
game over the last 20 matches, while Rio Ave concedes 1.6. Sporting's away form remains strong, unbeaten with 11
wins.
💡 Sporting CP's defensive solidity on the road, conceding only 0.89 goals per
game, could prove pivotal against a Rio Ave side struggling to
score consistently.
Final Result
Rio Ave 1 : 4 Sporting CP
Our prediction: 2 ✓
Rio Ave hosts Sporting CP at Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube in Vila do Conde. With Rio Ave sitting 12th and Sporting CP in 3rd, the stakes are high. Rio Ave aims to solidify mid-table security, while Sporting CP seeks to secure their Europa League qualification spot.
Avg Scored0.9
Avg Conceded1.6
Over 2.560%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.95
Avg Conceded0.95
Over 2.560%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets8
🏟️Venue
Estádio do Rio Ave Futebol Clube, Vila do Conde
12,815 capacity · Grass
⭐ Rio Ave — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| André Luiz | Attacker | 7 | 5 | 7.44 | 19 | 22 |
| Clayton | Attacker | 10 | 4 | 7.17 | 19 | 11 |
| C. Miszta | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.09 | 20 | 0 |
| M. Vrousai | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.95 | 30 | 27 |
| B. Aguilera | Midfielder | 1 | 0 | 6.86 | 19 | 15 |
⭐ Sporting CP — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Gonçalo Inácio | Defender | 2 | 3 | 7.60 | 27 | 18 |
| L. Suárez | Attacker | 26 | 6 | 7.34 | 30 | 43 |
| M. Hjulmand | Midfielder | 2 | 4 | 7.28 | 26 | 28 |
| O. Diomande | Defender | 0 | 0 | 7.19 | 16 | 2 |
| Rui Silva | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.16 | 30 | 0 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X3.65
Double Chance X21.05
Double Chance 121.13
Over 1.5 Goals1.12
Under 1.5 Goals5.75
Current Form Guide
Sporting CP's recent form shows a mix with two wins, two draws, and one loss. They recently thrashed Guimaraes 5-1. Despite a slight decline, their overall strength is consistent. Rio Ave's form is unstable: one win, two draws, and two losses, with a recent 0-0 draw against GIL Vicente highlighting scoring issues. Sporting's away momentum stays strong.
Best Bet Recommendation
Sporting CP to win is the standout market, priced at 1.26. Their strong historical record against Rio Ave and superior goal-scoring ability solidify this choice. The Double Chance X2 at odds of 1.05 is a safer alternative, given Sporting's unbeaten away record. Considering the xG and Rio Ave's low scoring, under 3.5 goals at 1.8 offers value as a supplementary bet.
Goals & Market Analysis
Expected goals suggest a tight affair with a total of 1.83. Sporting CP scores 1.95 per game, while Rio Ave nets 0.9, hinting at a low-scoring match. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely, but Sporting's solid defense and Rio Ave's struggle upfront make under 3.5 goals at odds of 1.8 appealing. BTTS is less likely at 38%, given Rio Ave's frequent failure to score.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Sporting CP is predicted to
win with a 56% probability. They have won 9 of the last 10 head-to-head matches and average 1.95 goals per
game, highlighting their offensive strength.
2
What is the best
bet for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
The best value
bet is Sporting CP to
win at
odds of 1.26. The model gives them a 56% chance of victory, exceeding the implied probability of the
odds, providing a value edge.
3
What is Rio Ave's recent form?
Rio Ave's last 5 results: DLDWL, scoring 4 and conceding 6. At home, they have 3
wins, averaging 0.9 goals, with 3 clean sheets. Their form is stable but lacks consistency in attack.
4
What is at stake in Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Rio Ave is 12th with 35 points, aiming for mid-table security. Sporting CP, 3rd with 76 points, targets Europa League qualification, needing a strong finish to maintain their position.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Rio Ave vs Sporting CP?
Draw No
Bet refunds the stake if it's a draw. Sporting CP's DNB
odds are 1.05, offering low risk for a likely
win, making it a safer choice than the straight
win bet.
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Primeira Liga11.05.2026
