RB LeipzigDraw 13%FC St. Pauli
🏆
Prediction
RB Leipzig @ 1.31
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.48
56% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.75
50% probability
Over 1.5 @ 1.15
RB Leipzig has a strong home record with 11
wins and averages 2 goals per
game at home. FC St. Pauli struggles away, scoring only 0.6 per
game and conceding 1.9.
💡 RB Leipzig's recent form is improving, with a strong upward trend in points per
game, contrasting with FC St. Pauli's declining trajectory.
Final Result
RB Leipzig 2 : 1 FC St. Pauli
Our prediction: 1 ✓
RB Leipzig faces FC St. Pauli in a crucial Bundesliga clash on 09.05.2026. Leipzig, ranked 3rd, aims to secure Champions League qualification, while St. Pauli fights against relegation from 17th place. The stakes are high for both, with Leipzig enjoying a strong home advantage and St. Pauli struggling away.
Avg Scored1.75
Avg Conceded1.55
Over 2.575%
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored0.7
Avg Conceded1.6
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
⭐ RB Leipzig — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Y. Diomande | Attacker | 12 | 7 | 7.76 | 31 | 53 |
| D. Raum | Defender | 3 | 6 | 7.36 | 29 | 95 |
| W. Orbán | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.25 | 31 | 9 |
| A. Nusa | Midfielder | 4 | 3 | 7.13 | 29 | 32 |
| C. Lukeba | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.11 | 24 | 7 |
⭐ FC St. Pauli — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| N. Vasilj | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.08 | 32 | 0 |
| M. Saliakas | Defender | 1 | 3 | 6.96 | 17 | 12 |
| E. Smith | Defender | 2 | 2 | 6.92 | 26 | 18 |
| H. Wahl | Defender | 2 | 1 | 6.81 | 28 | 6 |
| A. Dźwigała | Defender | 1 | 1 | 6.77 | 18 | 5 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.06
Double Chance X23.25
Double Chance 121.11
Over 1.5 Goals1.15
Under 1.5 Goals5.25
Current Form Guide
RB Leipzig's form is surging with four consecutive wins before a recent loss, reflecting an upward trend. St. Pauli's form is poor, with no wins in five, indicating a declining pattern. Leipzig's home form is solid, while St. Pauli struggles away.
Best Bet Recommendation
The best value lies in backing RB Leipzig to win at odds of 1.31. Their strong xG of 3.15 and consistent home scoring make them favorites. Consider Over 2.5 goals at 1.48, given Leipzig's scoring rate. Double Chance offers minimal edge due to Leipzig's dominance.
Goals & Market Analysis
RB Leipzig's expected goals (xG) stand at 3.15, indicating a high-scoring potential, while FC St. Pauli's xG is just 0.59. Over 2.5 goals is likely at 56%, with Leipzig's home games averaging 2 scored. BTTS is 50%, but Leipzig's defense could keep St. Pauli's low away scoring average at bay.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
RB Leipzig is predicted to
win with a 76% probability. They average 2 goals scored at home and have strong recent form with four
wins in the last five matches.
2
What is the best
bet for RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
The best
bet is RB Leipzig to
win at
odds of 1.31. The model gives them a 76%
win probability, higher than the implied
odds, offering value.
3
What is RB Leipzig's recent form?
RB Leipzig's last 5: LWWWW. At home, they have 11
wins,
score 2 goals on average, and kept 6 clean sheets. Their form is improving.
4
What is at stake in RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
RB Leipzig, 3rd with 62 points, seeks Champions League qualification. FC St. Pauli, 17th with 26 points, is battling relegation.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
Draw No
Bet returns your stake if it's a draw.
Odds for RB Leipzig DNB are 1.12, offering safer value compared to a straight
win.
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Bundesliga09.05.2026
