PartickDraw 22%Dunfermline
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
48% probability
Partick's home performance with an average of 1.8 goals scored per
game and their recent
win against Dunfermline indicate a strong position. The model's probability of 65% for a Partick
win suggests value when compared to the implied probability of the
odds.
💡 Despite Dunfermline's higher clean sheet rate, their away defensive record of 1.5 goals conceded per match suggests vulnerability on the road, which Partick can exploit.
Final Result
Partick 2 : 1 Dunfermline
Our prediction: 1 ✓
The upcoming Premiership clash between Partick and Dunfermline at an undisclosed venue on 15.05.2026 presents an intriguing market opportunity. With Partick's recent home form showing resilience, particularly in their scoring ability, and Dunfermline's inconsistent away performances, bettors might find value in backing the home side. The stakes are high as both teams look to assert dominance in the league, with Partick seeking to extend their favorable head-to-head record. The market dynamics suggest that Partick's home advantage could be a decisive factor.
Avg Scored1.65
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.555%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.45
Avg Conceded0.95
Over 2.545%
BTTS25%
Clean Sheets11
Form & Key Players
Partick's recent form has been stable with a record of DDDWD in their last five matches, reflecting a declining trend with 1.4 points per game. Their key strength lies in their consistent goal-scoring, averaging 1.65 goals per match over the last 20 games. Dunfermline, with a form of DWDWL, has shown a stable trend but struggles with consistency in scoring, averaging 1.45 goals per game. The absence of specific key player data means bettors should focus on overall team dynamics, with Partick's home form and recent direct victory over Dunfermline as critical indicators.
Match Prediction
Given Partick's home scoring average and the model's xG prediction of 2.29 against Dunfermline's 0.83, the likelihood of a home win is reinforced. The implied probability from the odds suggests a 65% chance for Partick, aligning with the model's analysis. With the most likely scoreline being 2-0, the odds of 1.54 for a Partick win present a value opportunity. The confidence level of 88% further supports this prediction, making it a compelling choice for bettors seeking an edge.
Home Ground Advantage
Playing at home, Partick has demonstrated a significant advantage with an average of 1.8 goals scored per match, compared to 1.38 scored by Dunfermline away. This scoring prowess is complemented by their defensive solidity, conceding just 0.9 goals on average at home. While Dunfermline has a respectable overall defensive record, their away form tells a different story, with an average of 1.5 goals conceded per away game. This statistical home advantage suggests that Partick could capitalize on Dunfermline's defensive lapses on the road, providing a potential edge for bettors considering the home win market.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Partick vs Dunfermline?
Partick is predicted to
win with a 65% probability. This is supported by their average of 1.8 goals scored at home and a recent victory over Dunfermline. Additionally, Partick's consistent defensive record at home plays a crucial role.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Partick vs Dunfermline?
The model suggests a 48% probability for over 2.5 goals, with
odds reflecting this uncertainty. Given the recent head-to-head results and Partick's home scoring average, a
bet on under 2.5 goals might
offer a safer approach.
3
What is Partick's recent form?
Partick's last five results are DDDWD, scoring 7 goals and conceding 4. At home, they have won 9 out of 20 matches, averaging 1.8 goals scored and maintaining 6 clean sheets, though their form shows a declining trend.
4
What is Dunfermline's away form this season?
Dunfermline's last five away results include two draws and one
win, with an average of 1.38 goals scored and 1.5 conceded per away match. Their away form indicates a vulnerability that Partick could exploit.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about Partick vs Dunfermline?
In the last 10 meetings, Partick has won 5 times, with 3 draws and 2 losses. The average goals per match is 2.2, with only 30% of
games going over 2.5 goals. Partick's recent dominance suggests they have the upper hand.
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Premiership15.05.2026
