⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.8
55% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.62
52% probability
Leganes have a historical edge with 5
wins in 9 meetings and are expected to
score 2.23 xG, indicating stronger attacking potential. Mirandes have struggled away, conceding an average of 2.11 goals per match.
💡 Leganes have a consistent home scoring rate of 1.3 per
game, which could exploit Mirandes' weak away defense.
Final Result
Leganes 1 : 0 Mirandes
Our prediction: 1 ✓
Leganes face Mirandes in a crucial Segunda División clash at Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés. Both teams are battling relegation, with Leganes three points clear of the drop zone, while Mirandes sit precariously close to relegation. A win for Leganes could secure their safety, while Mirandes need a result to keep their hopes alive.
Avg Scored0.95
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.565%
BTTS70%
Clean Sheets0
🏟️Venue
Estadio Municipal de Butarque, Leganés
12,450 capacity · Grass
⭐ Leganes — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Juan Soriano | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.03 | 41 | 1 |
| Duk | Midfielder | 4 | 5 | 6.98 | 37 | 35 |
| Lalo Aguilar | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | 32 | 12 |
| Ignasi Miquel | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.89 | 28 | 5 |
| S. Cissé | Midfielder | 3 | 2 | 6.89 | 34 | 37 |
⭐ Mirandes — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Juanpa | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.96 | 25 | 2 |
| Adrián Pica | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.90 | 0 | 0 |
| Marino Illescas | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 6.86 | 11 | 9 |
| Ismael Barea | Midfielder | 1 | 0 | 6.76 | 11 | 4 |
| G. Petit | Attacker | 4 | 1 | 6.73 | 19 | 5 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.3
Double Chance X21.77
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.25
Under 1.5 Goals3.8
Current Form Guide
Leganes are in poor form with a last five record of LDLLL. They have been consistently declining, with only 0.2 points per game recently. At home, they average 1.3 goals per match but have failed to score in 8 games. Mirandes, contrastingly, show an upward trend with a recent form of WDLLW, highlighting an improving pattern despite defensive vulnerabilities.
Best Bet Recommendation
The best bet is Leganes to win at 2.00. The model gives Leganes a 63% win probability, supported by their superior xG of 2.23 and historical dominance over Mirandes. While Mirandes have shown improvement, their away form with 2.11 goals conceded per match makes the Leganes win a standout pick. Consider Double Chance (1X) at 1.3 for a safer option.
Goals & Market Analysis
Leganes boast an xG of 2.23, suggesting potential for goals, while Mirandes' xG of 0.97 reflects their attacking struggles. With Leganes averaging 1.3 goals at home, the Over 2.5 goals market, priced at 1.8, could offer value. Both teams have shown a tendency to score in the first half, with Leganes netting 22 and Mirandes 35 first-half goals this season.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Leganes vs Mirandes?
Leganes are predicted to
win with a 63% probability. They have an xG of 2.23, indicating offensive strength, and have never lost to Mirandes in their last nine meetings.
2
What is the best
bet for Leganes vs Mirandes?
The best value
bet is Leganes to
win at
odds of 2.00. This offers a value edge as the implied probability from
odds is lower than the model's 63%
win probability.
3
What is Leganes's recent form?
Leganes' last five results are LDLLL, with home form showing 1.3 goals scored per
game and 6 clean sheets. Their form is on a declining trend.
4
What is at stake in Leganes vs Mirandes?
Leganes are three points clear of relegation in 18th, needing a
win to secure safety. Mirandes are in 19th, needing points to avoid the drop.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Leganes vs Mirandes?
Draw No
Bet refunds your stake if the match ends in a draw. Leganes DNB is priced at 1.50, providing a safer alternative to the straight
win bet.
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Segunda División31.05.2026
