Farul ConstantaDraw 22%Chindia Targoviste
🏆
Prediction
Farul Constanta @ 1.46
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.9
57% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.95
56% probability
BTTS Yes @ 1.95
Both
teams have high BTTS rates, with Chindia at 60% and Farul at 55% over their last 20 matches. This indicates a strong likelihood for both
teams to
score.
💡 Farul Constanta's home performance shows they concede slightly more goals than they
score, averaging 1.44 goals conceded per match, suggesting vulnerability in defense.
Final Result
Farul Constanta 1 : 1 Chindia Targoviste
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Farul Constanta will face Chindia Targoviste in a crucial Liga I match on 31st May 2026. The encounter will take place at an undisclosed venue. Farul, currently ranked 7th, is in a precarious position, aiming to avoid relegation playoffs. Chindia, with no standings data available, will look to exploit Farul's recent struggles.
Avg Scored1.45
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.550%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.5
Avg Conceded1.8
Over 2.560%
BTTS60%
Clean Sheets4
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.05
Double Chance X22.6
Double Chance 121.17
Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Under 1.5 Goals3.4
Form Comparison
Farul Constanta's recent form is concerning, with a record of DLLDD in their last five matches, indicating a downtrend. They have struggled both home and away, securing only 5 wins in their last 20 matches. In contrast, Chindia Targoviste shows a slightly better form with DDWLL, although they have been inconsistent on the road. Their away record shows they score an average of 1.25 goals but concede 2 per match, highlighting defensive issues.
Expert Prediction
Given Farul Constanta's home advantage and Chindia's away vulnerabilities, Farul is favored with a 55% probability of winning. The prediction is supported by their expected goals model, which gives Farul an xG of 2.39 compared to Chindia's 1.02. Odds for a home win are priced at 1.46. However, both teams are likely to score, making BTTS Yes at odds of 1.95 a strong value bet.
Match Stakes & Context
In Liga I, Farul Constanta is positioned 7th with 25 points, sitting in the relegation playoff zone. Their goal difference of -3 reflects defensive frailties. Chindia Targoviste's league standing is not available, but their recent form and head-to-head advantage over Farul suggest they are a formidable opponent. Farul's immediate goal is to secure points to avoid relegation threats, making this fixture critical.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Farul Constanta vs Chindia Targoviste?
Farul Constanta is predicted to
win with a 55% probability. They have an xG of 2.39, indicating strong offensive potential. Additionally, Chindia's away record shows a tendency to concede 2 goals per match, supporting Farul's advantage.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Farul Constanta vs Chindia Targoviste?
The model's most likely
score is 2-1 in favor of Farul Constanta. This aligns with the expected goals, where Farul's xG is significantly higher at 2.39 compared to Chindia's 1.02, suggesting a narrow victory for the home side.
3
What is the best
bet for Farul Constanta vs Chindia Targoviste?
The best value
bet is BTTS Yes at
odds of 1.95. The model probability for BTTS is 56%, while the implied
odds probability is lower, indicating a value edge.
4
What is Chindia Targoviste's away form this season?
Chindia Targoviste's last five away results are LLDWL. They have scored an average of 1.25 goals per away match, but their defensive record is poor, conceding an average of 2 goals per
game.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Farul Constanta vs Chindia Targoviste?
Double Chance 1X is priced at 1.05, X2 at 2.6, and 12 at 1.17. The combined probability for 1X is 90.5%, offering a low-risk option reflecting Farul's higher
win probability.
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Liga I31.05.2026
