⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.85
63% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.65
62% probability
Elche's recent home form is strong, averaging 1.78 goals per
game, and they have won four of their last five matches. Alaves struggle away, conceding 2.2 goals on average.
💡 Elche's home scoring rate of 1.78 per
game, coupled with Alaves conceding 2.2 away, suggests a likely Elche
win.
Final Result
Elche 1 : 1 Alaves
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Elche hosts Alaves at the Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero in a crucial La Liga clash. With just two points separating them, Elche aims to solidify their mid-table position while Alaves fights to avoid the relegation zone. Both teams are desperate for points as the season nears its end.
Avg Scored1.45
Avg Conceded1.8
Over 2.580%
BTTS80%
Clean Sheets3
Avg Scored1.5
Avg Conceded1.95
Over 2.565%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets1
🏟️Venue
Estadio Manuel Martínez Valero, Elche
36,017 capacity · Grass
⭐ Elche — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Dituro | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.48 | 17 | 3 |
| Aleix Febas | Midfielder | 2 | 2 | 7.23 | 32 | 25 |
| Álvaro Núñez | Defender | 0 | 2 | 6.97 | 19 | 21 |
| Germán Valera | Attacker | 4 | 4 | 6.96 | 32 | 42 |
| Á. Rodríguez | Attacker | 5 | 5 | 6.93 | 29 | 29 |
⭐ Alaves — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Toni Martínez | Attacker | 11 | 3 | 6.99 | 33 | 23 |
| Carlos Vicente | Midfielder | 5 | 0 | 6.95 | 21 | 27 |
| Antonio Blanco | Midfielder | 2 | 2 | 6.92 | 32 | 16 |
| Sivera | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.91 | 34 | 0 |
| N. Tenaglia | Defender | 2 | 0 | 6.82 | 32 | 6 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.33
Double Chance X21.62
Double Chance 121.25
Over 1.5 Goals1.28
Under 1.5 Goals3.55
Current Form Guide
Elche's recent form is strong at home with a 4-1-0 record, scoring 1.78 goals per game. They show an upward trend, having won four of their last five matches. Alaves, however, are stable yet unimpressive, with a 1-2-2 record in their last five, struggling particularly away from home.
Best Bet Recommendation
The best bet is Elche to win at odds of 2.22. Elche's home advantage is significant, scoring 1.78 on average and winning 8 of 17 home games. Alaves have a poor away record, averaging 2.2 goals conceded. The Double Chance on Elche or Draw also presents value, reducing risk with odds of 1.33.
Goals & Market Analysis
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is priced at 1.85, with a 63% chance according to the model. Elche averages 1.78 goals at home, while Alaves concedes 2.2 away. Both teams score frequently in the second half, with Elche netting 19 and Alaves 18 after the break. BTTS is likely, priced at 1.65 with a 62% probability.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Elche vs Alaves?
Elche is predicted to
win with a 67% probability. They average 1.78 goals at home and have won four of their last five matches, indicating strong form.
2
What is the best
bet for Elche vs Alaves?
The best value
bet is Elche to
win at
odds of 2.22. The model gives Elche a 67% chance, higher than the implied probability of 45%.
3
What is Elche's recent form?
Elche's last 5 results: W 2-1, W 3-2, W 1-0, L 0-1, W 2-1. At home, they've won 8 matches, averaging 1.78 goals, with 7 clean sheets. Their form is improving.
4
What is at stake in Elche vs Alaves?
Elche, in 14th with 38 points, looks to secure mid-table safety, while 17th-placed Alaves, with 36 points, aims to avoid relegation. The gap is tight, making this a crucial match.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Elche vs Alaves?
Draw No
Bet refunds the stake if it's a draw. Elche's DNB
odds are 1.57, offering a safer alternative to the straight
win bet.
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La Liga09.05.2026
