Celta VigoDraw 20%Levante
🏆
Prediction
Celta Vigo @ 1.7
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.8
53% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.75
60% probability
Celta Vigo has a stronger home record compared to Levante's away struggles, with Celta Vigo's expected goals (xG) significantly higher at 2.33 compared to Levante's 0.92. The probability model gives Celta Vigo a 64% chance to
win.
💡 Celta Vigo consistently scores more in the first half, with 30 goals compared to 18 in the second half, indicating strong starts at home.
Final Result
Celta Vigo 2 : 3 Levante
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Celta Vigo will face Levante in La Liga on May 12, 2026. This match is pivotal for Celta Vigo's pursuit of European qualification, while Levante battles against relegation. The venue remains undisclosed, but the stakes are high as Celta seeks to solidify a Europa League spot, and Levante fights to avoid the drop.
Avg Scored1.35
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.560%
BTTS65%
Clean Sheets4
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded1.4
Over 2.530%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets6
⭐ Celta Vigo — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Marcos Alonso | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.04 | 28 | 13 |
| Hugo Sotelo | Midfielder | 0 | 2 | 7.04 | 19 | 26 |
| I. Radu | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.99 | 34 | 1 |
| Óscar Mingueza | Midfielder | 1 | 4 | 6.93 | 30 | 28 |
| Iago Aspas | Attacker | 5 | 3 | 6.90 | 28 | 29 |
⭐ Levante — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Pablo Cuñat | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.75 | 2 | 0 |
| Dela | Defender | 2 | 1 | 6.96 | 29 | 14 |
| Iván Romero | Attacker | 7 | 1 | 6.94 | 29 | 24 |
| José Luis Morales | Attacker | 7 | 1 | 6.94 | 19 | 24 |
| M. Moreno | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.85 | 24 | 5 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.2
Double Chance X22.1
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.25
Under 1.5 Goals3.9
Form Comparison
Celta Vigo's recent form shows inconsistency with a record of WLLLW in the last five matches. They perform better at home, scoring 1.44 goals per game but conceding 1.78. Levante's form is slightly more stable (LDWWL), yet they struggle away, scoring just 0.78 goals per game while conceding 2. These trends highlight Celta's stronger home advantage.
Expert Prediction
Given Celta Vigo's superior home performance and Levante's poor away record, Celta is well-positioned to secure a win. The odds of 1.7 reflect their favorite status, supported by a 64% model probability. Levante's relegation pressure may impact their performance, likely favoring Celta's tactical execution.
Match Stakes & Context
Celta Vigo, ranked 6th with 47 points, is vying for a Europa League spot. They are just ahead of the mid-table pack, needing to maintain momentum to secure European football. Levante, sitting 19th with 33 points, faces relegation. The gap to safety requires urgent wins, increasing pressure on their away performance. With a goal difference of -17, Levante's defensive frailties are a concern, while Celta's positive goal difference of +4 underscores their offensive capability.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Celta Vigo vs Levante?
Celta Vigo is predicted to
win with a 64% probability. They average 1.44 goals at home while Levante concedes 2 goals per away
game. Celta's xG of 2.33 further supports their attacking dominance.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Celta Vigo vs Levante?
The model's most likely
score is 2-0 in favor of Celta Vigo. This aligns with the prediction as Celta's xG of 2.33 suggests a higher scoring potential compared to Levante's 0.92.
3
What is the best
bet for Celta Vigo vs Levante?
The best value
bet is Celta Vigo to
win at
odds of 1.7. The model probability of 64% provides a value edge over the implied
odds probability.
4
What is Levante's away form this season?
Levante's last five away results are L, D, L, L, W. They have 3 away
wins this season, scoring an average of 0.78 goals per away match while conceding 2 goals on average.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Celta Vigo vs Levante?
Double Chance 1X is priced at 1.2, X2 at 2.1, and 12 at 1.2. The combined probability for 1X is approximately 84% (64%
win + 20% draw), offering a favorable comparison to the implied
odds probability.
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La Liga12.05.2026
