⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO
38% probability
Burgos have a strong home record, scoring 1.44 goals per
game and conceding just 0.44, indicating a solid defense. Their recent form is stable with a 58% probability of
winning, offering value compared to the market consensus.
💡 Burgos's home defense is particularly strong, with an average of just 0.44 goals conceded per
game, which is a key factor against FC Andorra's declining form.
Final Result
Burgos 1 : 0 FC Andorra
Our prediction: 1 ✓
Burgos faces FC Andorra at Estadio Municipal de El Plantío in Burgos in a pivotal Segunda División match. With Burgos ranked 7th and vying for playoff spots, this match carries significant stakes. Market analysts will note the home strength of Burgos, who have shown resilience with a +14 goal difference. FC Andorra, sitting 13th, present a challenge but have struggled recently. This match is poised to test both teams' tactical approaches, with Burgos's home advantage potentially providing market value.
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded0.65
Over 2.525%
BTTS30%
Clean Sheets12
Avg Scored1.9
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.555%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets5
🏟️Venue
Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos
12,200 capacity · Grass
⭐ Burgos — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Ander Cantero | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.17 | 41 | 0 |
| Iván Morante | Midfielder | 1 | 4 | 7.05 | 40 | 30 |
| Miguel Atienza | Midfielder | 2 | 0 | 7.01 | 39 | 3 |
| Grego | Defender | 2 | 1 | 7.00 | 39 | 12 |
| Álex | Defender | 1 | 4 | 6.98 | 36 | 20 |
⭐ FC Andorra — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Á. Yaakobishvili | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.38 | 0 | 1 |
| Gael Alonso | Defender | 2 | 0 | 7.22 | 38 | 21 |
| Yeray Cabanzón | Attacker | 2 | 4 | 7.11 | 16 | 22 |
| Sergio Molina | Midfielder | 1 | 5 | 7.05 | 35 | 23 |
| Jesús Owono | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.99 | 19 | 1 |
Form & Key Players
Burgos's form is stable, with a recent record of WWDDD. Key players like Iván Morante, who has contributed 4 assists, are crucial in midfield, supporting a defense led by Ander Cantero. FC Andorra's form, LLWLW, reflects inconsistency. Yeray Cabanzón is a notable threat with 2 goals and 4 assists. However, FC Andorra's declining trend and weaker defensive record, especially away, make them less favorable in this matchup. The market should weigh Burgos's form stability against FC Andorra's vulnerabilities.
Match Prediction
Given the venue context and player performance, Burgos is favored to win, priced at odds of 1.72. Their defensive record at home and stable form provide a strong edge. FC Andorra's recent decline and away vulnerabilities further skew probabilities in Burgos's favor. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, aligning with Burgos's defensive strength. Bettors should consider the risk of a low-scoring match, with over 2.5 goals less probable at 38%.
Home Ground Advantage
Burgos's home ground advantage is statistically significant. At Estadio Municipal de El Plantío, Burgos averages 1.44 goals scored per game while conceding only 0.44. This defensive solidity has resulted in 9 clean sheets from 20 home matches. Their home win rate stands at 47%, showcasing their consistency on familiar turf. FC Andorra, by contrast, struggles away, conceding 1.22 goals on average. With Burgos's form stable and FC Andorra's trending down, the market should consider Burgos's defensive home performance as a critical factor in valuing this match.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Burgos vs FC Andorra?
Burgos is predicted to
win with a 58% probability. Their average 1.44 home goals and 0.44 goals conceded highlight a strong home advantage. FC Andorra's declining form and defensive weaknesses, particularly away, support this prediction.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in Burgos vs FC Andorra?
The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is low, at 38%. With an expected total xG of 2.23 and H2H data showing a 33% rate for over 2.5 goals, the
odds suggest a cautious approach, likely favoring under 2.5.
3
What is Burgos's recent form?
Burgos's recent form is WWDDD, with a strong home record of 9
wins and averaging 1.44 goals scored. They have kept 9 home clean sheets, indicating a stable form.
4
What is FC Andorra's away form this season?
FC Andorra's recent away form includes a
win at Leganes but losses at Deportivo La Coruna and Castellón. They average 2 goals scored per away match but concede 1.22, impacting their overall performance.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about Burgos vs FC Andorra?
Burgos leads the H2H with 3
wins to FC Andorra's 2 in the last 6 meetings. The average goals per meeting is 1.67, with a 33% rate for over 2.5 goals, suggesting a tight contest historically.
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Segunda División31.05.2026
