⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 2.19
49% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.91
46% probability
Bari has a slightly better form at home with a scoring average of 1.2 goals per match and a recent 2-0 victory over Virtus Entella. Their defensive record has room for improvement, but Sudtirol's declining form and higher goals conceded away strengthen Bari's chances.
💡 Sudtirol has shown vulnerability in their away matches, conceding an average of 1.67 goals, which Bari can exploit given their recent scoring improvements.
Final Result
Bari 0 : 0 Sudtirol
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Bari hosts Sudtirol in Serie B on May 15, 2026, in a crucial fixture that could impact both teams' standings. Bari sits 17th with 40 points, just one point behind 16th-placed Sudtirol. Both teams are battling to avoid relegation, making this encounter pivotal for their survival in the league.
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded1.6
Over 2.560%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets3
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded1.35
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets6
⭐ Bari — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| M. Cerofolini | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.15 | 37 | 2 |
| M. Verreth | Midfielder | 2 | 2 | 7.01 | 26 | 26 |
| A. Meroni | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.99 | 12 | 0 |
| M. Dorval | Defender | 1 | 7 | 6.96 | 33 | 38 |
| K. Piscopo | Attacker | 3 | 0 | 6.88 | 13 | 10 |
⭐ Sudtirol — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| S. Molina | Midfielder | 0 | 4 | 7.19 | 34 | 55 |
| D. Casiraghi | Midfielder | 4 | 7 | 7.04 | 30 | 55 |
| H. El Kaouakibi | Midfielder | 1 | 2 | 6.98 | 31 | 14 |
| G. Poluzzi | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.93 | 3 | 0 |
| M. Adamonis | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.84 | 34 | 1 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.36
Double Chance X21.5
Double Chance 121.36
Over 1.5 Goals1.33
Under 1.5 Goals2.83
Form
Form Comparison: Bari's recent form shows inconsistency, with a record of two wins and three losses in their last five matches. They have a better home record, winning seven out of their 19 home games this season. Sudtirol, on the other hand, has struggled recently, with a form of one draw and four losses in their last five. Their away form includes three wins in 19 matches, showing vulnerabilities especially in defense with an average of 1.67 goals conceded per away game.
Prediction
Expert Prediction: Bari is favored to win with odds of 2.50, driven by their slightly better home form and Sudtirol's declining away performance. The pressure is higher on Bari due to their current league position, needing a win to surpass Sudtirol. The odds reflect Bari's improved scoring at home and Sudtirol's defensive lapses. While the model suggests a close contest with a 45% win probability for Bari, their home advantage could be the deciding factor.
Context
Match Stakes & Context: This Serie B clash sees Bari in 17th place with 40 points and a goal difference of -22. They are directly competing with Sudtirol, who are 16th with 41 points and a better goal difference of -10. Both teams are in the play-out zone, making this match critical for escaping relegation. With only a point difference, the outcome could significantly affect their league positions, especially given Sudtirol's slightly better goal differential. Bari's need for a win is intensified by their position, while Sudtirol aims to maintain the gap to secure their standing.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Bari vs Sudtirol?
Bari is predicted to
win with a probability of 45%. Key reasons include their better home scoring average of 1.2 goals per match and Sudtirol's higher goals conceded away, averaging 1.67 per
game.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Bari vs Sudtirol?
The most likely
score is 1-1, given the expected goals of 1.74 for Bari and 1.2 for Sudtirol. However, Bari's home advantage and Sudtirol's defensive issues suggest a potential 2-1 outcome for Bari.
3
What is the best
bet for Bari vs Sudtirol?
The best value
bet is a Bari
win at
odds of 2.50. This offers a value edge as the model probability for a Bari
win is 45%, higher than the implied
odds probability.
4
What is Sudtirol's away form this season?
Sudtirol's away form in recent matches includes one
win, two draws, and two losses. They have scored an average of 1.22 goals per away match while conceding 1.67.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Bari vs Sudtirol?
Double Chance 1X is priced at 1.36, X2 at 1.50, and 12 at 1.36. The combined probability for 1X is 80%, which exceeds the implied
odds probability, making it a potentially valuable option.
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