RB Leipzig faces FC St. Pauli in a crucial Bundesliga clash on 09.05.2026. Leipzig, ranked 3rd, aims to secure Champions League qualification, while St. Pauli fights against relegation from 17th place. The stakes are high for both, with Leipzig enjoying a strong home advantage and St. Pauli struggling away.
Prediction RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli | 09.05.2026 | Bundesliga
Bundesliga09.05.2026
RB Leipzig
76%
VS
FC St. Pauli
11%
Prediction
RB Leipzig @ 1.31
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.48
56% probability
★ BEST BET
Over 1.5 @ 1.15
💡 RB Leipzig's recent form is improving, with a strong upward trend in points per game, contrasting with FC St. Pauli's declining trajectory.
RB Leipzig faces FC St. Pauli in a crucial Bundesliga clash on 09.05.2026. Leipzig, ranked 3rd, aims to secure Champions League qualification, while St. Pauli fights against relegation from 17th place. The stakes are high for both, with Leipzig enjoying a strong home advantage and St. Pauli struggling away.
Team Statistics
⭐ RB Leipzig — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y. Diomande | Attacker | 12 | 7 | 7.76 | 31 | 53 |
| D. Raum | Defender | 3 | 6 | 7.36 | 29 | 95 |
| W. Orbán | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.25 | 31 | 9 |
| A. Nusa | Midfielder | 4 | 3 | 7.13 | 29 | 32 |
| C. Lukeba | Defender | 1 | 0 | 7.11 | 24 | 7 |
⭐ FC St. Pauli — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Vasilj | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.08 | 32 | 0 |
| M. Saliakas | Defender | 1 | 3 | 6.96 | 17 | 12 |
| E. Smith | Defender | 2 | 2 | 6.92 | 26 | 18 |
| H. Wahl | Defender | 2 | 1 | 6.81 | 28 | 6 |
| A. Dźwigała | Defender | 1 | 1 | 6.77 | 18 | 5 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.06
Double Chance X23.25
Double Chance 121.11
Over 1.5 Goals1.15
Under 1.5 Goals5.25
Current Form Guide
RB Leipzig's form is surging with four consecutive wins before a recent loss, reflecting an upward trend. St. Pauli's form is poor, with no wins in five, indicating a declining pattern. Leipzig's home form is solid, while St. Pauli struggles away.
Best Bet Recommendation
The best value lies in backing RB Leipzig to win at odds of 1.31. Their strong xG of 3.15 and consistent home scoring make them favorites. Consider Over 2.5 goals at 1.48, given Leipzig's scoring rate. Double Chance offers minimal edge due to Leipzig's dominance.
Goals & Market Analysis
RB Leipzig's expected goals (xG) stand at 3.15, indicating a high-scoring potential, while FC St. Pauli's xG is just 0.59. Over 2.5 goals is likely at 56%, with Leipzig's home games averaging 2 scored. BTTS is 50%, but Leipzig's defense could keep St. Pauli's low away scoring average at bay.
Frequently Asked Questions
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What is at stake in RB Leipzig vs FC St. Pauli?
RB Leipzig, 3rd with 62 points, seeks Champions League qualification. FC St. Pauli, 17th with 26 points, is battling relegation.
