USL W League|13/06/2026
RKC Third Coast WDraw 14%Sioux Falls City W
🏆
Prediction
Sioux Falls City W
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
74% probability
Sioux Falls City W are overwhelming favourites with an 81% probability of victory, supported by their superior form and goal-scoring prowess. Their defensive solidity, evidenced by conceding only 17 goals in 20 matches, underpins their standing as contenders. The home side's struggle, averaging just 0.65 goals per
game, highlights the gulf in class. Sioux Falls City's impressive away record, including seven
wins out of nine, further strengthens the case for their
win.
💡 Sioux Falls City W's defensive consistency is notable, with nine clean sheets in their last 20 matches. This defensive resilience has been a cornerstone of their success, allowing them to remain competitive even when their attacking output fluctuates.
Final Result
RKC Third Coast W 1 : 1 Sioux Falls City W
Our prediction: 2 ✗
This encounter between RKC Third Coast W and Sioux Falls City W in the USL W League presents a tactical challenge at an undisclosed venue. RKC Third Coast W, languishing in sixth with just four points, face a formidable opponent in Sioux Falls City W, who sit second with 25 points. The home side's defensive vulnerabilities are laid bare by their average concession of 2.82 goals per home game, a stark contrast to Sioux Falls City's impressive away form. The tactical battle will likely hinge on whether RKC can shore up their leaky defence against the visitors' potent attack.
Avg Scored0.65
Avg Conceded2.75
Over 2.560%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets3
Avg Scored2.7
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.575%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets9
Form Guide: The Last Month in Focus
RKC Third Coast W's recent form is troubling, with three losses in their last five matches. Their solitary victory, a 1-0 home win over Rally Madison FC W, was a rare bright spot amid disappointing performances, including a 1-0 home defeat to Rockford Raptors W. Conversely, Sioux Falls City W have demonstrated formidable form, securing four consecutive wins, including a commanding 6-0 triumph over Rochester W. Their ability to score freely while maintaining defensive discipline highlights their confidence as they prepare to face a struggling RKC side.
Prediction: What the Environment Suggests
The prediction for this match strongly favours Sioux Falls City W, driven by their dominant away record and RKC Third Coast W's struggles at home. With Sioux Falls City W's win probability at 81%, and their consistent ability to perform on the road, the data supports a straightforward backing of an away victory. Furthermore, the odds of 1.23 for a Sioux Falls City W win reflect this confidence, making it the most compelling selection given the stark contrast in form and performance.
The Home Factor: How Much Does It Matter Here?
RKC Third Coast W's home form offers little encouragement, with just three wins in 11 matches and a concerning average of 2.82 goals conceded per game. In contrast, their away form is even less inspiring, failing to secure any victories. Sioux Falls City W, however, excel on their travels, winning seven of nine away games and maintaining a robust defensive record with only one goal conceded per away match on average. These statistics suggest that home advantage is unlikely to be a decisive factor, as Sioux Falls City's away strength appears sufficient to neutralise any potential benefits for the hosts.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win RKC Third Coast W vs Sioux Falls City W?
Sioux Falls City W are predicted to
win with an 81% probability. This is supported by their impressive average of 2.7 goals scored per
game and their nine clean sheets in the last 20 matches, emphasising both offensive and defensive strength.
2
Will there be over 2.5 goals in RKC Third Coast W vs Sioux Falls City W?
Yes, the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is high at 74%. This is based on the expected goals total of 3.15 and the historical trend of 100% of head-to-head matches exceeding this mark.
3
What is RKC Third Coast W's recent form?
RKC Third Coast W's recent form includes a 1-0 home
win against Rally Madison FC W, but they lost 1-0 to Rockford Raptors W at home and 1-0 away to Minnesota Aurora W. Their home-specific form remains weak with an average of 0.82 goals scored and only one clean sheet.
4
What is Sioux Falls City W's away form this season?
Sioux Falls City W have been impressive away,
winning four of their last five away
games, including a 3-0
win at Rockford Raptors W. They average 1.78 goals scored per away match, showcasing their ability to perform on the road.
5
What does the head-to-head record say about RKC Third Coast W vs Sioux Falls City W?
Sioux Falls City W have dominated the head-to-head record,
winning both of the last two encounters. These matches have averaged 3.5 goals, with 100% ending over 2.5 goals, highlighting Sioux Falls City's superiority.