Costa Rica WDraw 8%Canada W
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES
55% probability
Costa Rica W is favoured with a 70% probability of
winning, presenting a significant value edge over the implied
odds. They have been formidable at home, scoring an average of 2.75 goals per
game, while Canada W has struggled away, failing to
score in all their away matches. These statistics strongly support the prediction.
💡 Canada W's away form is a glaring weakness, with zero
wins and zero goals scored in their last seven away fixtures. This statistic reveals a stark contrast between their home and away performances, suggesting an uphill battle in Costa Rica.
Final Result
Costa Rica W 0 : 6 Canada W
Our prediction: 1 ✗
San José sets the stage for an intriguing clash between Costa Rica W and Canada W in the Friendlies Women. Costa Rica W, with a recent surge in form, will look to capitalise on their home advantage, having scored an impressive 21-0 victory over Cayman Islands W recently. For Canada W, it's a test of resolve as their away form has been woeful, failing to notch a single win or even a goal in their last seven away outings. The stakes are clear: Costa Rica W seeks to maintain their momentum, while Canada W aims to break their travel jinx and find the net.
Avg Scored2.3
Avg Conceded1.6
Over 2.550%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored2
Avg Conceded0.95
Over 2.555%
BTTS35%
Clean Sheets5
Home11W 1D 1L
Away0W 0D 7L
Current Form & Season Narrative
Costa Rica W enters this friendly with a sense of growing confidence, having won three of their last five matches. A standout result was their emphatic 21-0 demolition of Cayman Islands W, showcasing their attacking prowess. However, their defensive vulnerabilities were exposed in a 5-2 home defeat to Brazil W, indicating a potential area of concern. At home, Costa Rica W has been prolific, averaging 2.75 goals per match, which suggests they are capable of troubling any defence.
In contrast, Canada W's recent form has been mixed, with three wins followed by a loss to Brazil W. Their 4-0 triumph over Zambia W highlights their attacking capabilities, yet their away performances tell a different story. Canada W has lost all seven of their recent away matches, failing to score in any of them. This stark contrast between their home dominance and away struggles raises questions about their ability to perform on the road.
The critical statistical contrast lies in Costa Rica W's impressive home goal-scoring average against Canada W's inability to score away. This disparity could prove decisive in the outcome of this match, with Costa Rica W looking to exploit their home advantage and Canada W needing to overcome their travel woes.
Head-to-Head: The Rivalry Story
The head-to-head history between Costa Rica W and Canada W paints a picture of Canadian dominance. In their last four encounters, Canada W has emerged victorious each time, with an aggregate scoreline that underscores their superiority. Notably, their 4-1 victory in June 2025 was a testament to their attacking efficiency and defensive solidity against Costa Rica W.
Despite this historical edge, the average goals per meeting stand at 2.75, suggesting competitive encounters. Costa Rica W has struggled to breach Canada's defence consistently, as evidenced by the mere 25% BTTS rate in these fixtures. This pattern indicates a psychological advantage for Canada W, who enters each clash with the confidence of past success.
For fans, the anticipation of whether Costa Rica W can finally break this cycle and claim a victory, or if Canada W will continue their streak, adds an intriguing layer to the narrative. The history suggests a challenge for Costa Rica W, but also presents an opportunity to rewrite the script.
Match Prediction & Best Bet
Costa Rica W is favoured to secure victory, bolstered by a 70% probability according to the model. Their expected goals of 2.92 dwarf Canada's 0.42, highlighting a potential offensive onslaught from the hosts. With a confidence score of 88%, the statistics strongly back a home win.
Costa Rica W's recent form, particularly at home, has been impressive. Their ability to score freely, as shown by their 21-0 win against Cayman Islands W, is a testament to their attacking depth. Meanwhile, Canada W's away record is concerning; seven consecutive losses and no goals scored suggest significant vulnerabilities.
The value edge is clear, with the model's probability far exceeding the implied odds. A Costa Rica W win at odds of 1.43 offers substantial value, while alternative options like Double Chance or Draw No Bet are less appealing given the statistical confidence in a home win. The one factor that could undermine this pick is if Canada W suddenly finds form away from home, but the data suggests this is unlikely.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Will both
teams score in Costa Rica W vs Canada W?
Given the 33% BTTS probability and Canada's failure to
score in recent away
games, it's unlikely both
teams will
score. Costa Rica W's strong home attack contrasts with Canada's away struggles, making a 'No' on BTTS a sensible
bet.
2
What is Costa Rica W's recent form?
Costa Rica W has won three of their last five matches, including a 21-0 victory over Cayman Islands W. At home, they have been strong,
winning three of their last twelve, scoring an average of 2.75 goals per
game. Their form is improving.
3
What is at stake in Costa Rica W vs Canada W?
With no league standings data available, this friendly is about pride and form. Costa Rica W seeks to extend their home
winning streak, while Canada W looks to overcome their poor away form and gain momentum.
4
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Costa Rica W vs Canada W?
Draw No
Bet means your stake is returned if the match ends in a draw. Costa Rica W is priced at 1.20, offering better value given their strong home form. Canada W's away issues make them a riskier choice.
5
Are there injury concerns for Costa Rica W vs Canada W?
Both squads appear fit with no significant injuries reported. This ensures both
teams can field their strongest line-ups, which is crucial for Costa Rica W's home advantage and Canada W's attempt to improve away performance.
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