⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.9
51% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.93
46% probability
Double Chance 1X @ 1.11
Austria are overwhelming favourites with a 74%
win probability according to the model, offering a value edge over the implied
odds. Their home form is formidable, unbeaten in their last six at home with an average of 2.91 goals scored. Tunisia's away form is inconsistent, having failed to
win in their last three away matches. The statistics heavily favour Austria, especially playing on home soil.
💡 Austria's home goal average stands at 2.91 per
game, highlighting their potent attacking prowess when playing in front of their own crowd. This is significantly higher than Tunisia's away goals conceded average of 1, which could prove decisive.
In an international friendly match hosted in an undisclosed location, Austria face Tunisia on 1st June 2026. While the immediate stakes are limited given the friendly nature, Austria's focus will be on maintaining their impressive home form. With an expected goals model predicting a 2-0 win for the hosts, Austria's attacking capabilities at home, averaging 2.91 goals per game, could be pivotal. Tunisia, on the other hand, have struggled on the road recently, which may leave them vulnerable.
Avg Scored2.35
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.550%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets7
Avg Scored1.55
Avg Conceded0.85
Over 2.545%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets9
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.11
Double Chance X22.4
Double Chance 121.2
Over 1.5 Goals1.3
Under 1.5 Goals3.45
Match-Up Analysis & Verdict
Austria's home attacking strength directly challenges Tunisia's away defensive vulnerabilities. The hosts' average of 2.91 goals per home match contrasts sharply with the visitors' 1 goal conceded per away game. The model's 74% probability for an Austrian victory, combined with odds priced at 1.20, provides a clear value edge over the market's implied probability. Austria's ability to dominate possession and create chances should see them control the tempo. Defensively, Austria's solidity at home (0.73 goals conceded on average) will likely stifle Tunisia's counter-attacking efforts. A safety market such as the Double Chance 1X at odds of 1.11 is recommended for cautious bettors, but a direct home win remains the standout choice.
Profile: Austria
Austria's season has been marked by impressive consistency, reflected in their 12 wins from 20 matches. Their home record stands out, with seven victories from 11 matches, scoring an average of 2.91 goals per game. Defensively, they've been solid, conceding just 0.73 goals on average at home and securing seven clean sheets in total. In their last five fixtures, Austria have demonstrated their resilience; they defeated South Korea 1-0 and Ghana 5-1 at home, while also securing a 2-0 victory away in Cyprus. Their only recent blemish was a 1-0 away loss to Romania. Austria's tactical approach is characterised by high possession, averaging 59%, and a robust defensive setup, allowing them to control games from the back. The absence of any significant injuries means they can deploy their strongest lineup, enhancing their chances against Tunisia. Austria's most significant strength lies in their home dominance, which they will be keen to exploit.
Profile: Tunisia
Tunisia's recent form has been less reassuring, with only eight wins from their last 20 outings. On the road, they have managed four victories in 12 matches, scoring 1.5 goals per game on average but also conceding 1. Their last five games have seen mixed results: a goalless draw against Canada, a narrow 1-0 win over Haiti, and a disappointing 3-2 loss to Nigeria. Away from home, Tunisia typically rely on a counter-attacking style, but inconsistencies in execution have been evident. While they have managed to keep nine clean sheets overall, their away defensive record suggests vulnerability against stronger attacking sides like Austria. No significant injuries have been reported, allowing Tunisia to field a full-strength squad. However, their biggest threat remains their capacity to strike on the counter, while their greatest vulnerability is their defensive fragility on the road.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What is the correct
score prediction for Austria vs Tunisia?
The model's most likely
score is 2-0 in favour of Austria. This aligns with the expected goals of 2.33 for Austria and 0.67 for Tunisia, indicating a comfortable home victory.
2
What is the best
bet for Austria vs Tunisia?
The best value
bet is an Austria
win priced at 1.20. With a model probability of 74%, this offers a value edge over the implied
odds probability.
3
What is Austria's recent form?
Austria's last five results include a 1-0
win against South Korea, a 5-1 victory over Ghana, a 1-1 draw with Bosnia & Herzegovina, a 2-0
win against Cyprus, and a 1-0 loss to Romania. At home, they have won seven of their last 11, averaging 2.91 goals scored and recording several clean sheets.
4
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe
bet in Austria vs Tunisia?
The probability for Over 1.5 goals is 80%, with
odds at 1.30. Both
teams have seen 2+ goals in a substantial portion of their recent matches, making this a likely outcome.
5
Are there injury concerns for Austria vs Tunisia?
There are no significant injuries reported for either
team. Both squads appear fit, allowing them to field their strongest line-ups, which should not affect the prediction significantly.