GentDraw 40%Union St. Gilloise
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
NO @ 1.96
41% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.77
50% probability
Draw @ 3.45
Given the recent form and historical data, a draw is supported by the head-to-head results showing 50% ending in draws, and both
teams have a high probability of a stalemate based on the calculated xG values of 0.81 and 0.91.
💡 Union St. Gilloise's defensive stability is notable, with only 0.63 goals conceded on average in away
games, which could neutralize Gent's home scoring average.
Final Result
Gent 0 : 0 Union St. Gilloise
Our prediction: X ✓
Gent and Union St. Gilloise face off at the Planet Group Arena, Gent, in a crucial Jupiler Pro League encounter. Gent, ranked fifth, aims to secure better playoff positioning, while Union St. Gilloise, in second place, looks to maintain their position for Champions League qualification. Both teams have contrasting recent forms, adding tension to this pivotal match.
Avg Scored1.4
Avg Conceded1.15
Over 2.540%
BTTS45%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.6
Avg Conceded0.55
Over 2.550%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets10
🏟️Venue
Planet Group Arena, Gent
20,185 capacity · Grass
⭐ Gent — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| D. Roef | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.24 | 37 | 3 |
| T. De Vlieger | Midfielder | 0 | 0 | 7.20 | 21 | 10 |
| M. Skóraś | Midfielder | 2 | 7 | 7.03 | 29 | 55 |
| M. Delorge-Knieper | Midfielder | 0 | 2 | 6.94 | 16 | 11 |
| D. Yokota | Attacker | 0 | 1 | 6.93 | 6 | 5 |
⭐ Union St. Gilloise — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| C. Vanhoutte | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 7.38 | 5 | 12 |
| C. Burgess | Defender | 2 | 3 | 7.37 | 32 | 12 |
| A. Khalaili | Attacker | 2 | 5 | 7.19 | 35 | 55 |
| K. Mac Allister | Defender | 1 | 1 | 7.18 | 31 | 11 |
| F. Leysen | Defender | 1 | 1 | 6.99 | 25 | 7 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.86
Double Chance X21.24
Double Chance 121.29
Over 1.5 Goals1.3
Under 1.5 Goals3.4
Form Comparison
Gent's recent form is declining with a sequence of DLLDD, indicating struggles to secure victories. Their home performance shows an average of 1.4 goals scored per match, yet they have struggled with consistency, as evidenced by their 45% BTTS rate. In contrast, Union St. Gilloise displays robust form, with a record of WLWDW. Their away form remains strong, averaging 1.13 goals per match, and they maintain a solid defensive record with only 0.63 goals conceded on average. The disparity in form suggests Union St. Gilloise holds the momentum advantage.
Expert Prediction
The prediction for this match is a draw, given the statistical probabilities and recent performances. Gent's home advantage is counterbalanced by Union St. Gilloise's solid away form. The odds for a draw are priced at 3.45, reflecting a realistic outcome based on the 40% draw probability. Both teams have shown the capacity for low-scoring games, as indicated by the most likely score of 0-0, supported by the xG values of 0.81 for Gent and 0.91 for Union St. Gilloise.
Match Stakes & Context
Gent sits fifth in the Jupiler Pro League with 27 points, aiming to enhance their position in the Qualification Playoffs. They are under pressure to convert their recent draws into wins. Union St. Gilloise, currently second with 49 points, is vying for Champions League qualification. Their strong goal difference of +40 underlines their dominance this season. The gap between the two teams highlights the importance of this match for Gent, as they strive to close the points deficit and improve their league standing.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The predicted outcome is a draw with a 40% probability. Gent's average of 1.4 goals scored at home contrasts with Union St. Gilloise's 0.63 goals conceded away. This defensive solidity suggests a balanced match.
2
What is the correct
score prediction for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The model's most likely
score is 0-0. This aligns with the calculated xG values of 0.81 for Gent and 0.91 for Union St. Gilloise, indicating a tight contest with limited scoring opportunities.
3
What is the best
bet for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The best value
bet is a draw at
odds of 3.45. The model probability of 40% exceeds the implied
odds probability, creating a value edge in the market.
4
What is Union St. Gilloise's away form this season?
Union St. Gilloise's last five away results are WWDWL. They have achieved 7
wins, scored 23 goals, and conceded 0.63 goals per match on average, showcasing their effective away performance.
5
Is the Double Chance
bet worth it for Gent vs Union St. Gilloise?
The Double Chance 1X is priced at 1.86, X2 at 1.24, and 12 at 1.29. X2 offers a 45% combined probability, aligning closely with the implied
odds probability, suggesting moderate value.
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Jupiler Pro League21.05.2026
