⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.7
54% probability
🔁
NO @ 1.62
46% probability
Wolves have a strong expected goals advantage (2.18 vs 0.67). They are more consistent at home, averaging 1.64 goals scored per match. Fulham's away performance dips to 0.78 goals scored per match.
💡 Wolves have a 67% chance of
winning according to model probabilities, making their
win odds of 3.6 an undervalued opportunity.
Final Result
Wolves 1 : 1 Fulham
Our prediction: 1 ✗
Wolves face Fulham in a Premier League clash at Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Wolves, ranked 20th, are battling relegation with only 18 points. Fulham, sitting 11th, aim for a top-half finish. Wolves need a win to boost morale and potentially climb the standings, while Fulham look to solidify their mid-table position.
Avg Scored1.1
Avg Conceded1.5
Over 2.550%
BTTS40%
Clean Sheets5
Avg Scored1.15
Avg Conceded1.3
Over 2.560%
BTTS50%
Clean Sheets3
🏟️Venue
Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton, West Midlands
34,624 capacity · Grass
⭐ Wolves — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| S. Johnstone | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.93 | 12 | 0 |
| E. Agbadou | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.85 | 14 | 4 |
| José Sá | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.83 | 21 | 1 |
| André | Midfielder | 1 | 0 | 6.81 | 33 | 18 |
| J. Bellegarde | Attacker | 1 | 1 | 6.80 | 25 | 14 |
⭐ Fulham — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| H. Wilson | Midfielder | 10 | 6 | 7.14 | 34 | 38 |
| A. Iwobi | Midfielder | 4 | 3 | 7.06 | 27 | 40 |
| J. Andersen | Defender | 0 | 1 | 7.04 | 33 | 7 |
| B. Leno | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 6.93 | 36 | 0 |
| K. Tete | Defender | 1 | 0 | 6.93 | 22 | 11 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.85
Double Chance X21.28
Double Chance 121.22
Over 1.5 Goals1.22
Under 1.5 Goals4.2
Current Form Guide
Wolves' recent form is poor with LDLLL, struggling at the bottom. At home, they've scored 1.64 per match but failed to win their last three. Fulham's form is LLWDL, unreliable on the road, netting just 0.78 goals per game. Both teams show a declining trend, though Wolves' home scoring offers a glimmer of hope.
Best Bet Recommendation
The highest value market is Wolves to win at odds of 3.6. With a model probability of 67%, this is significantly undervalued. Wolves' home form and xG advantage highlight potential for an upset. Double Chance on Wolves or Draw at odds of 1.85 offers a safer alternative, balancing risk and reward.
Goals & Market Analysis
The expected goals for this match lean heavily in Wolves' favor, with a total xG of 2.85. Over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability, priced at 1.7. Wolves score more in the first half (14 goals), while Fulham often concede early, averaging 1.56 goals against in away games. BTTS is a 46% chance, with odds of 1.62, suggesting a tight, low-scoring affair is less likely.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
Who will
win Wolves vs Fulham?
Wolves are predicted to
win with a 67% probability. They have a superior xG of 2.18 compared to Fulham's 0.67. Wolves also
score more consistently at home with an average of 1.64 goals per match.
2
What is the best
bet for Wolves vs Fulham?
The best value
bet is Wolves to
win at
odds of 3.6. The model probability of 67% suggests a positive value edge compared to the implied probability of the
odds.
3
What is Wolves's recent form?
Wolves' last five results are LDLLL, scoring 1 goal and conceding 9. At home, they have 3
wins, averaging 1.64 scored, with 3 clean sheets. Their form is declining.
4
What is at stake in Wolves vs Fulham?
Wolves, ranked 20th, are fighting relegation with only 18 points, needing a
win to boost their slim survival hopes. Fulham, 11th with 48 points, aim to secure a solid mid-table finish.
5
What is the Draw No
Bet option for Wolves vs Fulham?
Draw No
Bet means a stake return if the match ends in a draw. Wolves DNB is at 2.6, while Fulham's is at 1.5. Wolves DNB offers better value if you believe in their home advantage.
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Premier League17.05.2026
