Bayer LeverkusenDraw 13%Hamburger SV
🏆
Prediction
Bayer Leverkusen @ 1.31
⚽
Over 2.5 Goals
YES @ 1.33
57% probability
🔁
YES @ 1.53
53% probability
Bayer Leverkusen
Win @ 1.31
Bayer Leverkusen's home form is strong, with an average of 2.1 goals per
game and 6 clean sheets this season. Hamburger SV struggles on the road, conceding an average of 1.9 goals. Leverkusen's attacking prowess, led by Álex Grimaldo, should see them secure a victory.
💡 Bayer Leverkusen's ability to
score early, with 48 goals in the first half this season, puts immediate pressure on their opponents, often setting the tone for the match.
Final Result
Bayer Leverkusen 1 : 1 Hamburger SV
Our prediction: 1 ✗
The atmosphere is electric at BayArena in Leverkusen as Bayer Leverkusen prepares to host Hamburger SV. The stakes are high with Leverkusen eyeing a solid finish to secure their UEFA Europa League spot. Hamburg, sitting mid-table, seeks to disrupt the hosts and end their season on a high. Both teams are eager to make a statement in this penultimate Bundesliga clash.
Avg Scored1.75
Avg Conceded1.25
Over 2.545%
BTTS55%
Clean Sheets6
Avg Scored1.25
Avg Conceded1.65
Over 2.560%
BTTS75%
Clean Sheets3
🏟️Venue
BayArena, Leverkusen
30,210 capacity · Grass
⭐ Bayer Leverkusen — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Aleix García | Midfielder | 3 | 7 | 7.48 | 32 | 48 |
| Álex Grimaldo | Midfielder | 8 | 8 | 7.33 | 28 | 68 |
| E. Tapsoba | Defender | 5 | 3 | 7.22 | 28 | 10 |
| J. Blaswich | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.22 | 11 | 2 |
| I. Maza | Attacker | 3 | 4 | 7.13 | 27 | 28 |
⭐ Hamburger SV — Key Players
| Player | Pos | G | A | Rating | Apps | KP |
|---|
| Daniel Heuer Fernandes | Goalkeeper | 0 | 0 | 7.18 | 32 | 0 |
| J. Dompé | Attacker | 3 | 0 | 7.04 | 20 | 33 |
| M. Muheim | Midfielder | 0 | 4 | 6.98 | 28 | 41 |
| N. Remberg | Midfielder | 0 | 1 | 6.91 | 30 | 9 |
| J. Torunarigha | Defender | 0 | 0 | 6.83 | 23 | 1 |
📊 Additional Markets
Double Chance 1X1.06
Double Chance X23.25
Double Chance 121.11
Over 1.5 Goals1.1
Under 1.5 Goals6.5
Verdict
Bayer Leverkusen is poised to assert their dominance at home, with Álex Grimaldo and Aleix García leading the charge. Priced at odds of 1.31 for a home win, the data supports a solid victory for the hosts. Hamburger SV's defensive frailties on the road and Leverkusen's potent attack, averaging 2.1 goals at home, suggest a straightforward outcome. With the xG model favoring a 2-0 scoreline, Leverkusen's structured play should see them through comfortably.
Focus: Bayer Leverkusen
Bayer Leverkusen enters this fixture with a mixed bag of results, having secured 3 wins in their last 5 matches. At home, they boast a strong record, winning 9 of their 16 matches, with an average of 2.1 goals scored per game. Key players like Álex Grimaldo, with 8 goals and 8 assists, and Aleix García, providing 7 assists, are pivotal in their 3-4-2-1 setup. Defensively, they have kept 6 clean sheets at home, a testament to their structured play. The fans expect a commanding performance as Leverkusen looks to capitalize on their home advantage.
The Visitors: Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV arrives in Leverkusen with a recent uptick in form, winning their last two matches. However, their away record remains a concern, with only 3 wins from 16 games and conceding an average of 1.9 goals. J. Dompé stands out as a key threat, but the team struggles to maintain defensive solidity on the road. Their 3-4-3 formation aims to exploit any weaknesses in Leverkusen's backline, yet their defensive vulnerabilities might be their undoing. The challenge is set for Hamburg to defy the odds and secure a positive result.
Frequently Asked Questions
1
What is the correct
score prediction for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
The model predicts a 2-0 scoreline, with Bayer Leverkusen expected to dominate based on an xG of 2.98 compared to Hamburger SV's 0.79.
2
What is the best
bet for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
The best value
bet is a Bayer Leverkusen
win at
odds of 1.31. The model gives Leverkusen a 76% probability of
winning, providing a value edge over the implied
odds.
3
What is Bayer Leverkusen's recent form?
Recent form: LWWLW, with
wins against RB Leipzig and 1. FC Köln. At home, they have 9
wins, averaging 2.1 goals scored per
game and 6 clean sheets.
4
Is Over 1.5 goals a safe
bet in Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
With a 89% probability for Over 1.5 goals and
odds of 1.1, it's a safe
bet. Both
teams have seen 2+ goals in most of their last 20 matches.
5
Are there injury concerns for Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV?
No significant injuries reported for either
team. Both squads appear fit, which should not affect the prediction significantly.
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Bundesliga16.05.2026
